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Michael James Munson's avatar

Way too many things do seem like a scam. The flood in Texas this weekend is about the most vivid example of how much damage can be done by one at scale.

Historical analyses show that improved weather warnings can save billions of dollars per event and countless lives. The National Weather Service’s overall economic benefit is estimated at $100 billion annually, about 10 times its previous operating cost. When we have knowledge to forecast and warn impending severe weather events, damage is mitigated, and we have a bulwark against damage cost that allows insurance companies to keep on providing insurance. If the cost to cover claims gets too high, our premiums become unaffordable, or insurance providers cancel coverage altogether.

In this Texas case, local officials said they didn't know so much rain was coming. They said the forecast called for 1x rain and they really got 3x that amount. This means they literally were operating on bad information that cost nearly 100 people their lives.

So not only were the proper warnings not given fast enough, there wasn't enough data collected and analyzed by NWS - due to budget cuts - to properly understand what was coming in the first place. Early estimates put the flood damage at $10B. Hiring 20% more NWS staff - across the country - costs about $50M.

It is estimated that proper forecasting and warnings would have saved $2B in damage. So to save $50M, we ended up costing ourselves $2B more than was necessary, and this is just ONE weather event in one area of one state! If that wasn't bad enough, the Homeland Security Secretary - in charge of FEMA that is suppose to help people recover from such disasters - decided it made more sense to erect a concentration camp for its war on immigrants - than be able to take care of the people harmed by the flood the government's cuts helped create the need for in the first place.

All this is to say Nicole properly points out the scamming going on at the consumer level. But here in the United States of America, we are getting scammed at the highest levels of our government. And it is only going to get way worse.

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